Diamondbacks vs Guardians Odds, Predictions, Props & Starting Pitchers

Aug 5, 2024; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Arizona Diamondbacks pinch hitter Joc Pederson (3) celebrates his two-run home run in the eighth inning against the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: David Richard-USA TODAY SportsThe Arizona Diamondbacks visit the Cleveland Guardians on Tuesday, August 6Lefty Eduardo Rodriguez makes his first start of the year for the D-backs against Cleveland righty Ben LivelySee the Diamondbacks vs Guardians odds, predictions, and player props to target

The reigning NL champs, the Arizona Diamondbacks (61-52, 30-27 away), look to continue a strong second-half push towards the postseason on Tuesday when they visit the AL Central-leading Cleveland Guardians (67-45, 35-18 home) in the second of a three-game series on Tuesday evening at Progressive Field (6:40 pm ET).

An outstanding 12-4 since the All-Star break, the D-backs have climbed into a three-way tie for the first NL Wild Card. But Arizona finds itself a slight road underdog in Tuesday’s Diamondbacks vs Guardians odds.

Diamondbacks vs Guardians Odds

Tuesday’s MLB odds list Cleveland as a -112 home favorite with Arizona coming back as a -104 underdog. The run total is sitting at 8.0 with the under slightly favored at -112.

On the runline, Arizona is +155 to win by multiple runs while Cleveland is priced at -188 to keep the score within a single run.

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Odds as of August 6 at FanDuel. See the full list of online betting deposit methods. 

Arizona won the opening game of the series on Monday night, 7-6 in extra innings. The back-and-forth affair featured five lead changes. After Arizona reliever Ryan Thompson coughed up a 6-5 lead in the bottom of the ninth, Eugenio Suarez singled home what proved to be the winning run in the top of the 10th against almost-unhittable Cleveland closer Emmanuel Clase (0.69 ERA).

The MLB public betting trends for Tuesday show Cleveland getting 85% of the moneyline handle as of 11:15 am ET, while the public is also hammering the over (88% of handle on over 8.0 runs).

Holding a 3.5-game lead over Minnesota in the AL Central, Cleveland is a -200 favorite in the MLB division odds. Sitting five games back of the Dodgers in the NL West, Arizona is as long as +1600 to win their division.

Eduardo Rodriguez vs Ben Lively

Rodriguez*VSLively

*Rodriguez’s stats from 2023 regular season.

A shoulder/back injury during spring training has kept Rodriguez out for the entirety of his first season with the D-backs. Coming off the best season of his career last year with the Tigers, the 31-year-old lefty has ample familiarity with the Guardians. In four starts against Cleveland last year, he combined to go 28.2 innings while allowing just two runs on 16 hits with 29 strikeouts. His Tigers were 4-0 in those games.

The current Cleveland lineup is slashing .243/.264/.429 against the Venezuelan in 70 total ABs with three home runs (two from Jose Ramirez), four doubles, 13 Ks, and just two walks.

Ben Lively less history against the Arizona lineup, and it’s much more concerning. In 36 total at-bats, Diamondback hitters have a .306 average and 1.014 OPS against the 32-year-old righty. Ketel Marte is 3-for-5 off lively with two home runs. As a group, Arizona has more RBI off Lively (seven) than strikeouts (four), with an equal number of walks.

The bulk of that history stems from two appearances last year when Lively was with the Reds. He combined to allow five runs on 14 hits and two walks over 10.1 innings (1.55 WHIP) with eight Ks.

Lively is having a career year this season, though, and picked up where he left off after the All-Star break. In three starts since the hiatus, Lively has allowed five runs on 13 hits and five walks in 17.1 innings (1.04 WHIP). The Guardians are 2-1 in his starts, with the only setback a 2-1 loss to the Padres on July 21.

Diamondbacks vs Guardians Predictions

It’s hard to be too bullish on Rodriguez in his first start of the season but when you couple his phenomenal track record against the Guardians with Lively’s checkered past against the D-back hitters, I am much more comfortable backing Arizona on the first-half moneyline.

I’m also going to back Marte, who is priced at +150 to record an RBI, to continue his run of success against Lively.

ARI vs CLE picks:

Arizona first 5 innings moneyline (-104 at FanDuel)Ketel Marte over 0.5 RBI (+150)

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